Fed set to announce first rate hike since July 2023; markets see >90% probability
The Federal Reserve delivers its September rate decision today. Markets price a 93% probability of a 25bp hike, which would be the first rate increase since July 2023. A hold would be the biggest dovish surprise since 1994. Major banks expect a hike, with some dissents possible. Equities edged higher and yields retreated ahead of the decision. 55 clean stories shaped this window, with sentiment bearish at 35/100. Also in focus: Fed expected to hike 25bp today, dot plot may signal another 2026 increase.
Sentiment35/100 · Bearish
Market readBearishat publication
Stories55clean stories in the window
Published12:30 PMWed, Sep 16 · ET
Stories that shaped this window
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