GDP matched expectations. Headline PCE came in a tick above forecasts on both month and year measures. Core PCE was in line. Consumer spending and personal income both beat estimates. The data is unverified.
Sentimentbearish 30
Bearish · 30 of 100
Impact70
medium · sector-wide
Confidence90%
high confidence · 27 wires
Eventdeveloping
v27 · alerts feed only
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US retail inventories ex-auto advance 0.7% in July, prior -0.4%neutral 50 · impact 20
US wholesale inventories rise 1.3% in July, far above 0.2% forecastbullish 60 · impact 10
Australian building capex rises 2.1% in Q2, recovering from -3.8% priorneutral 50 · impact 20
Capital Economics: july PCE supports Fed hold, but higher rates may comeneutral 50 · impact 30
US July PCE inflation holds at 3.7%, core steady at 3.3%bearish 30 · impact 70
US July PCE inflation runs slightly above estimates, durable goods beat, GDP steady at 1.5%bearish 35 · impact 10
US July PCE inflation rises to 3.7% year-over-year, above 3.6% estimatebearish 35 · impact 40
US 🇺🇸 GDP for Q2 just came in at +1.5% in line with expectations (2nd GDP reading out of 3)
US GDP Q2 2026 Estimate Report https://t.co/BgMO4fNV9U
US GDP holds at 1.5% QoQ, July PCE inflation runs slightly above estimatesbearish 30 · impact 50
US July PCE price index rises 0.2% month over month, headline inflation at 3.7% year over yearbearish 30 · impact 60
US Real Personal Consumption flat in August, matching forecastbearish 35 · impact 30
US GDP second estimate holds at 1.5% QoQ, in line with forecastneutral 50 · impact 10
US core PCE prices rise to 3.6% in preliminary reading, above 3.4% forecastbearish 30 · impact 10
US Core PCE Price Index year-over-year holds at 3.3%, matching forecastneutral 50 · impact 10
US personal income rises 0.4% in August, beating 0.2% forecastneutral 50 · impact 30
US consumer spending rises 0.2% in August, topping 0.1% forecastbullish 60 · impact 10
US core PCE inflation rises 0.2% in August, matching forecastsneutral 50 · impact 20
US PCE price index rises 3.7% year over year, above 3.6% forecastbearish 35 · impact 10
🔴 US PCE PRICE INDEX MOM ACTUAL 0.2% (FORECAST 0.1%, PREVIOUS -0.1%) $MACRO
US CORE PCE PRICE INDEX (MOM) (JUL) ACTUAL: 0.2% VS 0.1% PREVIOUS; EST 0.2%
US CORE PCE PRICE INDEX (YOY) (JUL) ACTUAL: 3.3% VS 3.3% PREVIOUS; EST 3.3%
US core durable goods orders rise 0.4% in August, missing 0.6% forecastbearish 35 · impact 30
US GDP (QOQ) (Q2) ACTUAL: 1.5% VS 1.5% PREVIOUS; EST 1.5%
US MBA mortgage applications fall 1% week over weekbearish 40 · impact 10 · this page
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