10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 5.228%, Highest Since 2007; 30-Year Tops 5.5%

By BORSA NewsroomPublished Sep 25, 2026, 10:09 AM EDTUpdated Sep 25, 2026, 11:04 AM EDT

U.S. Treasury yields resumed their climb Friday, with the 10-year reaching 5.228% (highest intraday since June 2007) and the 30-year touching 5.531% (first time above 5.5% in 22 years). The move was fueled by durable goods data that beat expectations and a smaller-than-expected decline in consumer confidence, reinforcing expectations for further Fed tightening. Money markets now price a 64% probability of a rate hike at the October FOMC meeting. Oil prices stabilized around $106 a barrel, while the dollar eased slightly.

Sentimentbearish 25

Bearish · 25 of 100

Impact80

high · market-wide

Confidence95%

high confidence · 7 wires

Eventdeveloping

WHAT WE KNOW

10-year Treasury yield intraday high 5.228% (highest since June 2007)
30-year Treasury yield touched 5.531% (highest since 2004)
University of Michigan consumer confidence September: 48.1 (prior 51.7)
Money markets price 64% probability of October rate hike
Brent crude oil around $106/barrel
DXY dollar index fell 0.3% to 101

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How it developed27 wires · newest first

Thu to Fri

Fri 12:31 PM10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 5.228%, Highest Since 2007; 30-Year Tops 5.5%bearish 25 · impact 80
Fri 11:59 AM30-year bond yield hits highest level since 2004bearish 25 · impact 80
Fri 11:20 AMUS 30-year Treasury yield surpasses 5.50%, highest in 22 yearsbearish 30 · impact 70
Fri 11:02 AMUS 30-year bond yield rises to 5.53%, highest since June 2004bearish 30 · impact 70 · this page
Fri 10:43 AMU.S. 30-YEAR BOND YIELD TOPS 5.5% FOR FIRST TIME SINCE 2004
Fri 10:42 AM30-Year Treasury Yield Tops 5.5% for First Time Since 2004bearish 25 · impact 80
Fri 10:09 AM30-year Treasury yield hits fresh 22-year high at 5.5185%bearish 30 · impact 70
Fri 8:10 AMEurozone bond yields fall as oil retreats; US Treasury yields steadyneutral 50 · impact 40
Fri 4:22 AMEurozone bond yields fall as oil prices retreat; US Treasury yields edge higherbearish 40 · impact 10
Fri 2:07 AMTreasury Yields Stay Near Multiyear Highs in Asian Tradebearish 40 · impact 10
Fri 1:34 AMTreasury yields rise in Asian trade, stay below Thursday's multiyear highsbearish 35 · impact 10
Thu 10:35 PMneutral 50 · impact 0
Thu 9:29 PMAsian currencies consolidate as Treasury yields hit new highs; oil adds pressurebearish 35 · impact 30
Thu 6:34 PMUnbelievable. 3 hours later and the 10Y Note Yield is now above 5.20% for the first time in 19 years. The 10Y Note Yield is now up +50 basis points in 30 days and +30 basis pointsbearish 30 · impact 70
Thu 4:40 PMU.S. stocks mostly lower as bond selloff worsens; Treasury yields hit multiyear highsbearish 35 · impact 45
Thu 3:13 PMBrent crude settles above $106, 30-year yield hits 5.47%, 10-year at 5.17%bearish 30 · impact 10
Thu 2:04 PMUS 10-year bond yield hits 5.17%, highest since 2007bearish 30 · impact 10
Thu 12:49 PMUS 10-year yield up 70 bps in September, above 5.15% for first time since 2007bearish 30 · impact 70
Thu 12:27 PMTreasury yields hit multiyear highs as economic data, Fed rate expectations risebearish 20 · impact 80
Thu 11:38 AMBond sell-off pushes 10-year yields to 2007 high; investor guidebearish 35 · impact 30
Thu 11:36 AMUS 10-year yield hits 5.1685%, highest since July 2007bearish 25 · impact 80
Thu 11:23 AMThe Bond Market Could Be on the Verge of Sending a Troubling Economic Signal -- Barrons.com
Thu 11:22 AMTreasury yields surge to multi-year highs on oil, inflation, rate-hike fearsbearish 25 · impact 80
Thu 10:02 AMBond Market Selloff Risks FX Carry Trade Unwind -- Market Talk
Thu 9:50 AMBond Selloff Linked to Worries About Rates, War, U.S. Growth -- Market Talk
Thu 9:08 AMTreasury Yields Stay Near Record Highs as Fed, Trade, Data in Focusbearish 35 · impact 30
Thu 8:38 AMU.S. 10-year yield hits 5.150%, highest since 2007bearish 25 · impact 75 · first wire

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BORSA uses AI-assisted classification and synthesis with deterministic event controls. Market sentiment is informational and is not individualized investment advice.