Fed Chair Warsh opened his press conference with a hawkish tone, saying inflation is too high and the Fed's responsibility is to get it down. He confirmed the September rate cut was a removal of accommodation, noted tighter credit conditions, and flagged rising oil prices. Warsh declined to preview December or respond to political criticism.
Sentimentbearish 30
Bearish · 30 of 100
Impact70
medium · sector-wide
Confidence80%
high confidence · 37 wires
Eventdeveloping
v37 · alerted as breaking
WHAT WE KNOW
Warsh said inflation is too high and the Fed is not tolerating a target above 2%.
The Fed removed a dose of accommodation in September.
Credit conditions have tightened; financial conditions have changed but are not tight.
Oil futures prices have moved up.
Near-term inflation expectations have risen; longer-term expectations remain anchored.
Business investment is likely rising by double digits; CAPEX strength is broad-based.
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WHY IT MATTERS••••••••••Market transmission and exposed assetsBULL / BEAR CASE•••• / ••••Competing evidence, edited togetherNEWS ON PRICE••.•% reactionConfirmation versus SPY and sectorWHAT TO WATCH•• catalystsThe facts that can change the read
BORSAPLUSWhy it matters · Bull and bear case · Reaction against SPY and the sector · What to watch