Market pricing continues to reflect a 90% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December, with traders maintaining expectations for another move as the central bank weighs inflation against growth risks.
Sentimentneutral 50
Neutral · 50 of 100
Impact60
medium · sector-wide
Confidence60%
moderate confidence · 2 wires
Eventdeveloping
v2 · alerted to followers
WHAT WE KNOW
Traders price a 90% chance of a December Fed hike.
The pricing has been maintained, not newly changed.
Traders are maintaining pricing that implies a 90% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the December FOMC meeting. The market-implied odds have held steady, indicating sustained expectations for another move.
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WHY IT MATTERS••••••••••Market transmission and exposed assetsBULL / BEAR CASE•••• / ••••Competing evidence, edited togetherNEWS ON PRICE••.•% reactionConfirmation versus SPY and sectorWHAT TO WATCH•• catalystsThe facts that can change the read
BORSAPLUSWhy it matters · Bull and bear case · Reaction against SPY and the sector · What to watch
