- Large deals have even higher failure rates.
MarketWatch columnist Mark Hulbert warns the proposed Tesla-SpaceX merger is likely value-destructive, citing research that 70-75% of M&A deals fail. He flags five hurdles: large deal size, questionable AI synergy, conglomerate headwinds, regulatory risks from Tesla's China operations, and a growth-rate mismatch between SpaceX and Tesla's flat auto revenue.
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